Falsifiable success criteria
A success criterion is falsifiable when a stated observation would end the project. Most criteria have two states and need three, because inconclusive is the result that actually occurs.
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Decision
Kill criteria are a political instrument
A precommitted criterion works only where the sponsor survives triggering it. Escalation of commitment is the mechanism it has to defeat, and it was demonstrated in the people who made the original choice.
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Write the kill criteria before the demo
Recorded conditions for stopping, agreed before anyone sees the evidence they govern. Six trigger families, and the rule that a stop decision and a finding about value are separate statements.
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