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Kinds

Explainer

The benefit decays before the transfer completes

Month-one and month-nine measurements are different quantities. A gate reading the early number transfers a system whose case has already expired, and time released is capacity rather than cash.

5 min read

The credentials that outlive the engagement

Vendor accounts, service principals, API keys and cloud tenancy persist after the final invoice. Revocation is not one action, and absence from an inventory is not absence.

5 min read

Dependency mapping beyond the source code

Source analysis, runtime observation, configuration, and operator knowledge reveal different dependencies. Each relationship needs a direction, purpose, and evidence boundary.

4 min read

Endowment effect meets parity-plus acceptance

The behavioural evidence is contested, which is the argument for checking the workflow first. A replacement judged on new capability gets judged on missing capability instead.

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Escrow does not survive model deprecation

Source escrow assumes the artifact is the source. Where behaviour depends on a hosted model the provider retires, the deposited package no longer reproduces the system.

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Extend, kill, or transfer

The decision the operate phase exists to produce. Three named outcomes, three others that get hidden inside them, and a default that applies when the evidence is missing.

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Falsifiable success criteria

A success criterion is falsifiable when a stated observation would end the project. Most criteria have two states and need three, because inconclusive is the result that actually occurs.

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Golden, adversarial, and regression sets

Three purposes, not three folders. One case can carry all three tags and still be one case family, and three passing tags are not three independent successes.

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Guardrails are an architecture, not a filter

Controls belong at the boundary that can enforce them. Authorisation happens in the downstream system, not in the model, and autonomy level sets how much each layer must carry.

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Kill criteria are a political instrument

A precommitted criterion works only where the sponsor survives triggering it. Escalation of commitment is the mechanism it has to defeat, and it was demonstrated in the people who made the original choice.

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Write the kill criteria before the demo

Recorded conditions for stopping, agreed before anyone sees the evidence they govern. Six trigger families, and the rule that a stop decision and a finding about value are separate statements.

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Liability after the last invoice

Which obligations survive handover, which insurance responds to a model's output, and why detection after transfer establishes nothing about when the defect arose.

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MVP against a working baseline

A restricted replacement justified as an MVP while failing the operational needs of the users required to adopt it. The diagnosis is the removed work, not the feature count.

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Nobody plans the end of the chain

Transferred systems get retired by a team that did not build them, using documentation written for a handover years earlier. It is the least-instrumented stage and the one where the original evidence is worth most.

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Parallel replacement and comparable results

Parallel replacement compares implementations over matched inputs and state before changing operational authority. Shadow execution must control external effects.

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Prompt injection is a tool-permission problem

The injection is not the vulnerability; the tool the injected instruction can reach is. Retrieval and fine-tuning do not mitigate it, and prototypes grant permissions generously.

6 min read

The prototype-to-production multiple

Two different ratios travel under one name, and a higher multiple can describe a cheaper project. No benchmark value is established, and the denominator is where the argument lives.

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Run cost is the number the prototype hides

Build cost is paid once; inference, retrieval, review and monitoring scale with use. A cheaper model bill can raise cost per accepted outcome, and the run-cost owner is absent from the approval.

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Shadow mode

Running a candidate against live inputs with its outputs withheld. The word does not establish the boundary — shared caches, writable destinations and quotas escape it unless someone checked.

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Shortest path to value

Waters' name for a legacy-replacement roadmap that delivers useful capability while limiting disruption. It answers a different question from an MVP, and the two coexist in one programme.

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The pilot as a sales tactic

A cheap pilot is a qualification instrument for the vendor. The diagnostic is what evidence and permitted artifacts remain if the buyer purchases nothing further.

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The receiving team is the deliverable

Invert the frame: the software is the byproduct and the capability is the product. Every practice that eases transfer is a training programme with an artifact attached.

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The run-cost handoff nobody scheduled

A transferred system arrives with a bill and no budget line, because the fiscal year that funded the build did not fund the operation. Six things move on six different dates.

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Walking skeleton, tracer bullet, strangler fig

Three patterns that build a thin end-to-end path before breadth. Two of them overlap and the third is a different kind of thing, because it has to keep an incumbent running alongside.

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What belongs in an application inventory?

An application inventory records deployed systems, their business roles, dependencies, and the evidence behind each attribute. Unknown values remain distinct from observed facts.

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What makes a system legacy?

Legacy status describes a constraint on continued operation and change. Age, support status, and treatment choice are separate assessments.

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Who owns the embeddings?

Indexes, embeddings, logs and fine-tuning corpora are created during the engagement and left out of the contract that governs it. Possession, ownership, licensed use and portability are four separate answers.

5 min read

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